Mr Decker, what would you say are the key findings of the Leipzig Authoritarianism Study 2024?
For me, there are three key insights. The first thing that stands out is the increase in manifest xenophobia, which has risen not only in eastern Germany but also in the west. Since the series of studies began more than 20 years ago, xenophobia in western Germany has steadily declined. But if you consider recent political developments, this finding should come as no surprise. Xenophobia and the rejection of migration have become central to political debate. The rejection of migrants is promoted by right-wing authoritarian parties, but democratic parties are also taking up and using this motif.
Second, anti-Semitic attitudes have also increased in the west. At first sight, there is nothing alarming about this slight increase, but it does mark a reversal of the trend: previously, approval had been falling steadily. And I see a link with anti-Semitic crimes, which have doubled in the last year. In the past, the expression of anti-Semitic views was strongly sanctioned. Our results may indicate that it is becoming easier again to express anti-Semitic sentiment.
And third, the results suggest that democracy is under pressure. Only 90 per cent of respondents are still satisfied with the idea of democracy. That figure may sound high, but it is the lowest we have measured since 2014. People’s satisfaction with their everyday experience of democracy has fallen sharply, particularly in eastern Germany, where only 30 per cent are satisfied with the form of government as practised in Germany. The figure for western Germany is also very low at 46 per cent.
You have been conducting the study since 2002. How do you respond to changes in political sentiment in your research and how do you change your methodology?
We started in the early noughties, in the wake of the 1990s – when we saw widespread violence against migrants and far-right mobilisation. At that time, we developed a questionnaire on far-right attitudes that included several dimensions on ethnocentrism and neo-Nazi ideologies. We wanted to find out how widespread the desire for a superior, ethnically homogeneous nation state was among respondents. Over a period of almost a quarter of a century, political culture naturally changes. That’s why we respond to the latest developments in each of our surveys. This year, in light of the attack on Israel on 7 October 2023 and its aftermath, we have placed a greater focus on anti-Semitism. Our suspicion was that we were underestimating the prevalence of this prejudice in the population. The same goes for political movements that do not support right-wing ideologies.
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