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Since 2002, Professor Oliver Decker has led a series of studies measuring political attitudes and authoritarian tendencies in Germany. On 13 November, the twelfth edition of the study, entitled “United in Resentment”, will be published as the Leipzig Authoritarianism Study 2024. In this interview, Decker explains the key findings of this year’s study and how the underlying methodology is changing.

Mr Decker, what would you say are the key findings of the Leipzig Authoritarianism Study 2024?

For me, there are three key insights. The first thing that stands out is the increase in manifest xenophobia, which has risen not only in eastern Germany but also in the west. Since the series of studies began more than 20 years ago, xenophobia in western Germany has steadily declined. But if you consider recent political developments, this finding should come as no surprise. Xenophobia and the rejection of migration have become central to political debate. The rejection of migrants is promoted by right-wing authoritarian parties, but democratic parties are also taking up and using this motif.

Second, anti-Semitic attitudes have also increased in the west. At first sight, there is nothing alarming about this slight increase, but it does mark a reversal of the trend: previously, approval had been falling steadily. And I see a link with anti-Semitic crimes, which have doubled in the last year. In the past, the expression of anti-Semitic views was strongly sanctioned. Our results may indicate that it is becoming easier again to express anti-Semitic sentiment.

And third, the results suggest that democracy is under pressure. Only 90 per cent of respondents are still satisfied with the idea of democracy. That figure may sound high, but it is the lowest we have measured since 2014. People’s satisfaction with their everyday experience of democracy has fallen sharply, particularly in eastern Germany, where only 30 per cent are satisfied with the form of government as practised in Germany. The figure for western Germany is also very low at 46 per cent.

You have been conducting the study since 2002. How do you respond to changes in political sentiment in your research and how do you change your methodology?

We started in the early noughties, in the wake of the 1990s – when we saw widespread violence against migrants and far-right mobilisation. At that time, we developed a questionnaire on far-right attitudes that included several dimensions on ethnocentrism and neo-Nazi ideologies. We wanted to find out how widespread the desire for a superior, ethnically homogeneous nation state was among respondents. Over a period of almost a quarter of a century, political culture naturally changes. That’s why we respond to the latest developments in each of our surveys. This year, in light of the attack on Israel on 7 October 2023 and its aftermath, we have placed a greater focus on anti-Semitism. Our suspicion was that we were underestimating the prevalence of this prejudice in the population. The same goes for political movements that do not support right-wing ideologies. 

This year we wanted to record anti-Semitic sentiment that might also be accepted in left-wing circles.

Professor Oliver Decker

Every two years, around 2,500 people across Germany are surveyed for the study. Interviewers select respondents at home and ask them to complete questionnaires on their political attitudes. Participants fill in the forms themselves and then return them. The questionnaire asks them to rate a series of statements on a five-point scale. How do you formulate the statements?

We start by discussing in our research group what we want to investigate in the study. This year we wanted to record anti-Semitic sentiment that might also be accepted in left-wing circles. We then design items, which are statements that reflect these prejudices. These are then tested in pre-tests that precede the actual study. This involved interviewing 4,200 people online. This year, for example, we covered two new dimensions of anti-Semitism: post-colonial anti-Semitism and anti-Semitic anti-Zionism.

What are the characteristics of these forms of anti-Semitism?

These forms of prejudice against Jews are characterised by the fact that they resonate with different political milieus. To explain this, let me touch upon what is known as the Historikerstreit, or historians’ dispute, which took place in Germany in the mid-1980s. The question was whether the crimes of the Nazi era really were unique. Or whether the concentration camps were not a reaction to the Gulag system in the Soviet Union. According to this view, the Shoah – the murder of European Jews by or in the name of Germans – was merely a reaction to something that was already underway. In the 1980s, this thesis was widely contested by the liberal public and there was clear opposition to it, as it was seen as trivialising the Holocaust. At first it seemed that the thesis would not survive.

Today, postcolonial anti-Semitism can be seen as an outgrowth of a perspective espoused in postcolonial studies. It interprets European colonial crimes as a model for Nazism, and Israel itself as a colonial settlement project. You could almost call this an historians’ dispute 2.0 – if there were any protest from the liberal public. Because here, too, the singularity of the Shoah is contested. And here, too, we see a form of guilt denial that we have been recording for some time as what we call guilt-deflecting anti-Semitism.

Through post-colonial anti-Semitism, it is even possible to base a rejection of Jews on a desire for justice. But this is in ignorance of the circumstances of Israel’s creation. Moreover, the delegitimization of Israel is based on the age-old anti-Semitic stereotype of Jews as “foreign” – even though they have always lived in the area. Today you can hear speeches about the “so-called Jewish homeland” at left-wing demonstrations in Germany – the grandchildren and great-grandchildren of the generation of perpetrators are shedding their scruples and even seeing themselves as fighters against injustice.

Anti-Semitism is classified as an anti-modern resentment. What function do such anti-modern resentments serve?

When we talk about anti-modern resentment, we are referring to analyses by Fritz Stern and Shulamit Volkov; Stern spoke of many of the groups that prepared the ground for National Socialism as anti-modern movements. They were united by a longing for a past that never existed. They felt anger towards those who were perceived to be representatives of a modern society. And Volkov showed that for these milieus, there were two groups that attracted the most hatred: Jews and women. This was because they took bourgeois society at its word and insisted that the promise of equality should be honoured.

 Other sections of society react with anger to these attempts at emancipation. This is because the freedom that modern societies claim is also a great challenge for many people; it goes hand in hand with being set free or having no boundaries. In addition, in their lives there is a gap between the aspirations and reality of bourgeois society. But those who accept this gap and submit to the rules see the desires of others as a provocation. A longing for the “past” can therefore easily be fuelled by those people who feel a longing for their “future”, those who prefer to look forward. 

Today, this anger is directed not only against women and Jews, but against others as well. To paraphrase the philosopher Bernhard Waldenfels: the anger is also directed against those who come and stay. In other words, against those who are perceived as foreign and who seem to challenge the established order: foreigners, Muslims, Sinti and Roma or trans people. Incidentally, these groups can also be carriers of prejudices themselves, the two are not mutually exclusive. But it is they who are the primary objects of hatred, and this is what our study measures in the “anti-modern resentment” categories.

Conspiracy thinking and anti-Semitism are like a kind of ‘dark resource’.

Professor Oliver Decker

Why did you look at anti-Americanism and anti-capitalism this year?

Anti-Americanism is part of Europe’s DNA. The old world has always looked down on the new continent. Our survey also shows that anti-Americanism is widespread. A third of respondents agree with anti-American statements, while another third are at least open to them.

The complex challenges of the world can be personified in this rejection of the United States. A place, a person or a group is blamed, which seems to make the situation easier to understand. There are great reservations, for example, against US speculators who seem to be destroying the market economy. 

A similar situation exists with anti-capitalism, which incidentally is not a distinguishing feature of left-wing movements alone. Anti-capitalist attitudes also exist in right-wing authoritarian, conservative or anti-Semitic milieus. Our figures also show this. Two-thirds of the population demonstrate an anti-capitalist attitude. This may also reflect a longing for a situation without contradictions.

Do esotericism and belief in conspiracies offer a remedy for people’s disillusionment with current political challenges?

We first measured conspiracy mentality in 2012, when it was even more widespread than during the COVID-19 pandemic. Conspiracy thinking and anti-Semitism are like a kind of “dark resource”. That is, they serve to restore a sense of control in moments of uncertainty. Superstition gives people the feeling that they can name the exact source of a threat, even if the reality is much more complex. Instead of social conditions, the blame can be placed on individuals. 

Esotericism is similar, but control is supposedly re-established through magical acts designed to satisfy higher powers. This may seem benign, but it is also a secondary form of authoritarianism. Again, it demands submission and subordination to a group, and deviation is punished. Anger and disappointment can arise, as they always do when identity has to be sought through groups: difference cannot be tolerated. And so, aggression – directed against “others” – is never far away.

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